The Federal Reserve will be forced to cut rates in 2024 as the economy sputters and the recession gets worse. That's because there's a combination of 1) increased layoffs, 2) commercial real estate crash, and 3) developing banking crisis that is turning the screws on the US Economy.
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And that banking crisis could be happening as we speak. With recent news showing that New York Community Bank just reported huge losses with its stock down 40%. Meanwhile, banks in Japan and Germany are also reporting issues. With the main cause being write-downs in loans related to the crashing commercial real estate market.
It's this commercial real estate crash that truly threatens the economy and banking sector in 2024. With values of office buildings already down 35% from peak. And apartment values now down 30% from peak. These lower property values are now causing banks to have to write-down losses on their balance sheet, which could end up triggering another banking liquidity crisis.
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