For months now, Michael Oliver has been warning that the monetary metals are no longer trading like sleepy commodities—they’re trading like assets that have quietly crossed a structural line in the sand. And nowhere is that more visible than in silver. Long before mainstream analysts began paying attention, Oliver argued that silver’s multi-year momentum structures had reached an “inelastic stage”—a phase where prices don’t just rise, they accelerate. Silver has already broken above the boundaries that contained it since 2021, and more importantly, its relative performance against the S&P 500 has turned decisively higher for the first time in a decade. According to Oliver, that relative breakout is the true tell. The metals are not simply moving up—they are outperforming the largest equity bubble in American history.
But silver isn’t acting alone. Gold is following a similar script, quietly grinding through an 11-year base against the S&P. Oliver’s models show that from 2015 onward, gold has matched or beaten the performance of the stock market… and now, it has finally burst through the top of that range. When you see an asset break an 11-year ceiling—especially a ceiling defined by momentum, not price—you are not looking at an ending move. You are witnessing the start of a major structural trend. This breakout, Oliver insists, is not a late-cycle blowoff; it is the beginning of a monetary metals bull market that will look nothing like the shallow rallies of the past decade.
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